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A Trip on a Dreamliner: The Tesla of the Skies, or is it the Chevy Volt?

I am writing from the economy plus section of a 787-8 Dreamliner (free upgrade because I begged for a window seat), someplace just east of Japan, and this is the second post I have written about it. Something about being on it has inspired me to revisit it, and there are things to be inspired by.

I have been traveling for months, looking for good stories, and most of the stories I have found are more loaded with Fear than Hope. I am seeing a lot of Environmental Alamo’s in the Third World, but coming back to the first world, you see that something is happening.. that people are getting the picture, and that action is being taken so our worst fears are not realized environmentally, in part because unlike in the tropics, the volatility of the weather is serving as a huge wake up call to anyone who isn’t trying to ignore things. In the tropics, as with a lot of places, the weather is either creating more intense storms, or longer periods of dry clear weather from what I am reading and seeing, and this is something that people can shrug off aside from the storms, but the temperates are not so lucky. I skipped a winter in the northeast United States that was like a winter I did experience in Florida a few years back, the winter of 2009-’10 where every few days a new storm whipped by, the jet stream acted erratic, and record cold temperatures were set. In Alaska and the west, things were warm and dry, and although not as numbing to the soul, everyone could tell something was wrong.

So here is how the debate on global warming has gone: sometime in the mid 1970’s, a college Professor named Wallace Broeker was working at the Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory along the Hudson River just north of New York City, which is part of Colombia University, and he wrote this paper:

http://blogs.ei.columbia.edu/files/2009/10/broeckerglobalwarming75.pdf

It was published a few weeks before I was even born, so hard to call it a new discovery. So after that, College professors started talking about this, but they were too late for the big environmental emphasis on air pollution in the Nixon Administration days. In fact, I’ll be danged, this was published a year to the day after he resigned, knew I knew that date, and the country was focused on government reform. So anyhow, who hears about this but just bunch of other college professors, and they start telling their students, like Al Gore’s professor at Harvard, Roger Revile, who got him thinking about these things, perhaps even before Broeker wrote his paper. I learned about it sometime in the late 1990’s from a professor nicknamed ‘Babs’, who was one of the cooler people I ever met in my life, not only because she passed me when I likely was undeserving, but because she was pretty chill, and allowed me to see the connection between our lifestyle, my tailpipe, the power plant downtown, and weather. Perhaps it was in an earlier class with an also pretty cool guy named Val that I made the connection, in meteorology, since I had to take three science classes to get out of college, and this accounts for two of them, but I remember it really clicking with Babs’ Energy Systems in a Modern World, which I took because it was close in character to my Social Science emphasis. So sometime around this time the Oil Industry started to take the threat of these Liberals seriously screwing up their profits like Nader did to Detroit and Rachel Carson did to Big Ag (thank you for smoking, by the way…), so they started to counter the argument before most had even thought about or contemplated it, perhaps sometime in the 1990’s, and you had the likes of Rush maybe taking a bit of baksheesh to still birth this idea to the American People, that anything we could do could destroy the inexhaustible layer of air I am now cruising on which is actually only like 20 miles thick (I’m 5-6 miles up, and above here the air is too thin to really sustain both the flight and combustion necessary to fly this thing.. smaller jets can go to 10 miles without too much strain, and some rocket planes might even hit 16 miles)… and all the sudden the American people were hearing about it, even if just from Rush and Fox lambasting the idea that anything the American people do that benefits their corporate overlords can possibly be wrong. Of course then Al Gore jumped into the fray in 2006 with the release of “An Inconvenient Truth” and all the sudden you had a name on the other side, a big name other than Conservative pundits, and the debate heated up. Soon after the weather started to get more and more inconveniently wacky, and even oil companies started to admit that Global Warming was Inconveniently happening, along with more than 70% of the American people, and things started to happen finally, but what?
That is what is germane to my current chariot, because there seemed to be a general agreement among the powers that be in the US that we would feel no pain to fix this problem. The last holdouts, the Koch Brothers (who have made billions on a family Oil Services Company and their guys in the US Congress, and in the Libertarian and Tea Party Movements (philosophically I might even like these guys, but I can give you first hand proof the Koch brothers are manipulating these groups for their own ends.) held out strongly against any pain being felt to reduce global warming, any national legislative plan to match the problem, so we were left with three options: Executive Rules changes, mostly Presidential Executive Orders ( Higher national fuel efficiency standards, changes to EPA standards), voluntary changes in the spirit of good will (I’m going to buy a Tesla because I want to be good to the environment, and have a car that goes 0-60 in 4.5, and because I can afford it incentives or not), and perhaps more efficient business practice (if UPS uses less gas by making more efficient routes and never making turns across traffic, they save more money on fuel), and incentivizing the so called free market to make number 2 more attractive (republicans will live with this if it benefits corporations they represent, and unlike at the federla level, states that lean liberal do set high gas taxes), like subsidizing or tax breaking low carbon changes on both the individual level (hybrid and electric car subsidies, home efficiency improvement tax credits) and corporate level ( tax breaks and subsidies to build wind farms, or ethanol plants). What is funny is that traditionally republican states have been gobbling up most of the latter, so what I am arriving at as a conclusion is that the consensus is that a few hipsters can ride the bus, or pedal to work out of perceived obligation, but the country is betting on improvements in technology to change what is argued to be an unchangeable lifestyle, e.g. I will keep driving, so an electric car will make that less destructive, so I will buy my way past global warming..
Will it work?I find myself now wondering if the Dreamliner is like the Romans figuring out that lead was in their plumbing a bit too late, or me obsessing about the arrangement of these carbon fiber chairs is a bit like the same process on the Lido deck of the now famous Titanic (although I cut a pretty good looking Leonardo DiCaprio look alike if I do say so myself!) as she slowly sinks away.. you start to wonder how much of what we offer as a modern, now increasingly economically united world, can survive more and more volatility through bad weather tugging at the margins of our overly tuned economies and ways of life… but the promise of all this is a promise of a better life.. we traded and continue to trade atmospheric carbon for all these promises like mobility, and fresh food anywhere, and entertainment and warmth.. I can go from Japan to Seattle in 8 hours, not the 17 days it would have taken in the days of freighter travel, and ask for forgiveness, but here I sit on the Dreamliner, and it is materially better, but only 20% so ( in essence, it uses 20% less fuel to do the same job as it’s aluminum counterparts, which in this case is to haul me and my pile of books, computers, and tropical and winter clothes home.
I do not know the meta analysis of it’s carbon lifespan to include production, which is a question for Boeing, but I would guess that they worked hard to minimize production waste and impacts, but I would have to guess that the production life of a plane is far outweighed by it’s performance over a 30 year lifespan, the energy used in which might be 30 times the energy to make the plane.. I’m flying to Seattle, maybe I pop out and ask them!), so I am still some 80% crapping out a shit ton of carbon to cross the Pacific, to indulge in the luxury of home after, I did in fact try taking a freighter the other way.

So here is the deal, airplane flight is by nature, since sometime in the 80’s or 90’s, undignified.. it sucks.. it has sucked since the days of Frank Abagnale (on a DiCaprio and Sinatra theme!) and my dad bringing home gifts from the bar of the 747 ended with the growth of demand sometime 30 years ago. Waned away to all sorts of manipulation and second dealing (sure you bought a ticket, but that bag is too heavy!), and the lowest common denominator like Southwest actually feeling like a relief since you can at least be confident that their sardonic sense of humor is what you paid for, and they aren’t jerking you around for once with fluff in place of substance.. but here I sit on this plane that is only 20% better, but it feels materially better, like 50% nicer.. how so? OK, well, I like real facts after I postulate for a bit, it’s what I like to deliver so here goes, and these are first hand observations, occurring as I type:
The world looks prettier out of these huge windows (remember the plane is carbon fiber, so not only is it lighter than previously used aircraft aluminum, but it’s stronger, so the windows are bigger, like twice the size in area, and to save weight, there is no shade to jar you awake, there is just this dimmer switch that works some magic on tinting the windows through some physics and chemistry mojo that I can’t figure out other than to say it works.. there are 5 settings and when it is dark, I can only see lights outside, not the items attached to them, and even then just barely.) Why does the world look prettier? I am just coming from a Buddhist area of the world, so my best non scientific answer is Karma.. it’s better for the planet, so somehow you brain picks out trees and plants and the beauty of lights instead of just how many goddamn houses are down there and what a mess it is.. it was also a pretty sunset.

I have never in my life seen wildlife outside of a plane window in a modern airport, but I saw a crow pass by.. in the US, crows are not necessarily a vaunted bird, but they like them in Japan, and it was somehow beautiful to see him glide by, in a place I never expected. It might be because I think the plane has an electric motor to back it out of the gate, and it wasn’t making any noise, so the crow, or perhaps raven, felt comfy to pass by.. that electric motor not only saves carbon, it saves infrastructure and noise in a place you would never expect to care because it is so abandoned, a modern airport tarmac.. these are places that we turn into environmental sanitized zones, since they are devoid of plants that could get sucked into the engines or need watering, and just big sheets of cement or asfult soaking up heat and releasing it too fast, and otherwise just producing intense runoff from the intense rains it also produces as a heat island.. it was somehow a reminder of the forgotten tarmac to see that bird go by, perhaps a reward for the plane being just that much greener.
The headroom is huge, the plane is bigger, or feels bigger inside, even the door felt like a grand entrance. It could just be better design, the windows and other things conveying the effect of grandeur.

The stewardess handed me a non-bleached napkin. Maybe it’s just a bit of Japanese craft, but it’s god environmental practice as well. I guess now I realize I have had those brown paper bag looking napkins too, the heavy stiff ones, maybe on a southwest flight, and in some way they were saving money and chemicals, but this feels intentional.. it feels right… well, 50% righter.. the warm towel also didn’t come wrapped in plastic, and wasn’t disposable.
The plane feels like it does sit relatively higher up. I had to come from another terminal, and drove right by my plane, or what I guessed was my plane, and proved to be, since it had 787 emblazoned on the side. It seemed huge. Not like the A-380 or 747 seems huge.. when you look at the windows, it looks small, almost like a toy, but it seems so tall up on it’s landing gear it looks like a cartoon plane. The Logic isn’t so you don’t have to troop down steep gangways anymore, although that was nice.. all that pounding of aluminum plates you usually hear was absent, but the real reason has to do with engine efficiency… the engine has to be physically bigger to be more fuel efficient, so that means jacking up the wing. This one seems to start right where my feet are, and I know that the one issue they had with the first production 787’s was stress at that attachment, so there must be a lot going on right underneath the floorboards there. The reasoning has to do with a ratio inside the engine, the ratio of the size of the air intake, the opening in front, to the areas where combustion occurs if I have it right. The more air you can jam in, the less fuel you have to use, so it makes the plane look like a gooney bird , with these huge bags under it’s wings.. it’s the only visual flaw on what otherwise looks like a find play-mobile plane, but there is one other odd detail:
The wings are wider than the fuselage is long… instead of a gooney bird, this thing is an albatross (which is specifically a nickname for an awkward looking albatross, so not far off), and Boeing doesn’t mind that comparison because it is actually one of the themes of that documentary I linked to in my first blog post. If you actually watched it, then a lot of this is repetition, but they were inspired by the endurance of albatrosses, since the 787 is a long haul jet, made for the big intercontinental flights, and what do albatrosses do but fly out to sea for months on end.. the wings come to a point gradually, are extremely flexible, and like I said, they are collectively longer than the length of the tube I am not sitting in if you include the maybe 5 meters of fuselage fuselage in between them (the wings by themselves without the fuselage would be just a bit shorter, maybe 2 meters shorter, but the wingspan of the plane overall is longer than it is wide, does that make sense?), but that’s a big deal, and seems illogical in some ways compared to the aggressive jets that characterize the genre of machine, like the fighter or the sleek Learjet. However, when you think about it, jets have big engines and small wings for not only maneuverability, but because if you have all that thrust, you can stay flying on less wing, since wings can contribute to drag.. the idea here here was to minimize the thrust needed to both take off (the plane is lighter because of the carbon fiber and a lot of smaller innovations, like fly by wire. There are no physical connections between the flaps and the pilots controls.. it’s like a big wifi node is flying the plane.. with a little electric engine turning what needs to be turned. Now, more than ever, I make sure I am on airplane mode!) and cruise (bigger air intake, more efficient engines, bigger wings).
So I just spoke to a stewardess as the LED’s dimmed by touch screen control to make us nod off more naturally, and she tossed me a few more interesting tid bits. When we took off, the plane was rattling a lot, all the light plastic that the luggage compartments and what not are made of, but as soon as the wheels lifted, it was quiet, and she seconded that, and added some more that filtered into my new-found knowledge of titivation of the last 4 years. Since the wings have such a pronounced V shape when in flight, the tips are above my head considerably as I sit here right at the back end of the wing root, (the morning after I wrote this, as we approached Seattle, I noticed that the wings were not only above my head, but even with, if not above the height of the aircraft. I had a connecting flight 3 hours later and the wings were half as bent high on a 737. The plane is remarkably smooth in flight laterally.. it ‘yaws’ less in the parlance, since there is a kind of pressure to keep it straight due to some aerodynamics I kind of understand but would have a hard time explaining, but you might intuit, from the v shape, so she said landings are so soft that unlike on just about every commercial plane where the stewardesses are taught to lift off of their seats just prior to landing to avoid repetitive stress injuries coming from their lower backs being scrunched all the time from the impact of landing, they literally do a little lift with their arms off the seat, which I have seen and chalked up to dainty stewardesses having a quite womanly struggle with flatulence at an inconvenient time. She said this aircraft lands so softly it isn’t necessary. I noticed also a little extra flight control surface, about two feet wide, between the ailerons and flaps, that seemed to be computer controlled, always moving up from the plane of the wing to varying degrees at all times, kind of jumping every few seconds, which seemed to be a stabilizer adjusting to immediate conditions.
Since I yawed into bathroom humor, the toilet on at least this flight had Japanese features like an internal bidet and bum dryer… that’s class!

The stewardess also said that it is quieter both at take off and landing, and that is a big deal in places like San Jose where millions of dollars are spent in noise abatement to maintain home values and quality of life (not sure in which order.. it is Silicon Valley!). Now that she mentioned it, it jibes. You could have had a normal conversation all through the take off we had (my seatmate, an old Japanese guy, admitted he didn’t speak a lick of English, and I know about 6 Japanese words, so it wasn’t an issue).
She also mentioned that because of the higher cabin pressure there are occasional issues with condensation coming down from the overhead compartments (better than a suitcase I guess!) but that it isn’t that often, but on a cuter note, something so Japanese flight attendant, she said that due to the higher pressure, there is less need for skin moisturizer, which many of the women who both work on the plane and fly appreciate, and maybe me too. Sometimes my nose itches like I was on a Mexican lucky bender all night with the old Robert Downey Jr…. when I get near customs, I feel funny itching my nose like I must be a mule stealing from the boss, but won’t be a problem on this flight.. the air doesn’t feel fresh like the west coast of Ireland, but for an intercontinental flight, if feels pretty nice.

I asked her if she showed up in destinations feeling less tired, but it might have sounded like a come on, so she didn’t quite answer, but I am going to guess yes. We were standing in front of a crew bunk bed area I have never seen on any other plane before, and maybe it seemed like an invite to the mile high club, if she wasn’t too tired, but she later did come and tell me that all the stewardesses felt better when they got to their destination, less tired, than on any equivalent aircraft.
So it’s approaching 3am at my destination, and I kind of want to walk around the plane still, so what is the upshot of all this? Well, first some good news.. this is the way things are going to be… this progress will hold it appears. They got over 600 orders for this plane, especially since oil and aviation fuel prices were out of control when it was introduced. The can deliver over a hundred a year I believe. Airbus followed suit.. it’s A350 might even be better than this although they gambled on a big Caddy, the A380, over the Prius of the Dreamliner, so the spoils belong to Boeing for a little while for taking the risk, but them catching up is good for the planet, so it’s a win win I hope.. I once read that commercial aircraft makers don’t even make a profit on the planes.. it’s all in the parts and maintenance later, so this is like a gimmie anyhow.. although from this altitude I am praying against planned obsolescence! And now Lear is working on the first carbon fiber corporate jet, which Mr. Lear dreamed of before he died in the 70’s, but the way advanced dream of the time, not so much a dream as we were already using it for things like Intercontinental Ballistic Missiles at the time, but it died with him, and the end of the oil and gas boom days in Texas that seemed to so fuel that company, and a little company out of Yakima called Cub Crafters is making the first carbon fiber bush planes, and its creeping into gliders and ultralights, and will work it’s way up.. as of yet, I have not herd of carbon fiber in commuter jets, but maybe I need to look at the makers like Bombardier, Embrear, Cessna and Saab. Looks like Mitsubishi tried and gave up:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mitsubishi_Regional_Jet
But like I said, it’s 20% better, and it’s going to take 30 years for this conversion to take place, and Global Warming and Climate Change is making it’s presence know now, and every bit we pump in is overwhelming us, since the planet can no longer absorb it at the rates it was able to until more recently. So what do we do with that.. well, this is step one.. they built a plane that looks like a normal commercial plane, no Popular Mechanics stuff, and it was 20% better… battery technology will kick in and start to change small aircraft in the next 5 years in ways that will be impressive. If this is the Volt, that upcoming aircraft will be the Tesla. To that victor might belong the true spoils, the Elon Musk Prize for inter-leg sackularity.
But the reality is that there are 30,000 planes flying around the world in the commercial arena alone, let alone private jets and prop planes.. this does start to seem like a drop in the bucket to an industry whose share of Global Carbon production is in the mid single digits, 1/20 of all anthroprogenic (caused by man) Carbon Dioxide and associated warming gasses releases, although it does come in intense spurts for the individual who does fly, with maybe a quarter ton for every hour flown, when the average american, the highest per capita carbon producer ( of the big nations, and not people living in remote places like the Faulklands.. wait, I stand corrected.. Australia passed the US in 2009! http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_carbon_dioxide_emissions_per_capita Does that now make us Northern Hemispheric Australians!? Agh… they dropped below us in 2010.. I celebrate too early!), uses almost 18 tons a year.. thankfully flying is expensive and annoying unless you really got cash and can pony up for private, which even most of the 1% cannot afford! Thankfully, since it’s impact is relatively higher, the difference between riding an SUV and taking the bus I would assume. And Jet’s impact is higher than their output of carbon because of where they deposit it, high in the sky. Climate experts are advising people to fly during the day when their contrails will block heat coming in, not at night when they will keep heat from escaping.. that is where we are getting to, ask the polar bears and the people of Tuvalu and the Maldives. But who is going to tell the rich not to fly? And if we get the carbon fiber thing figured out, could we pack it with batteries and solar power our planes.. hmm… it’s a big chunk of triple a’s, and it’s tough, and ground transportation like electric and higher efficiency vehicles, even made with carbon fiber, has a better chance to make a more sizable impact more quickly on the carbon equation with this as a big luxury we keep tolerating while tightening up everywhere else first, merely due to the huge challenges of the range necessary to make the range possible on these aircraft to sustain this global economic and leisure demand. Sure we can use Skype and turn the heat up to a nice toasty 82 for a week every winter, sprinkle some sand around the living room lounger,mix up a mojito out of the freezer,, and dial up a Copacabana beach webcam on our eco color flat screen, but the rich are the rich, and the Bourgeois are, the Bourgeois, and they are likely to not want to give up the habit of flying since it makes em feel so damn important, and what about immigrants who want to go someplace new but still get home once in a while so here we are stuck. Try banning it, as much as that might make sense someday soon if not now if people knew the truth of the consequences of all this.
So hope comes in hoping this incremental change, which strangely feels greater than that because my knees aren’t touching the seat in front of me, and I can breathe the 5000 ft equivalent pressure air much better than the 8000 ft pressure (by now they usually turn off the oxygen and I am drooling on myself anyhow.. this is better!), and I can already tell I will feel better hitting Seattle than I ever would on a normal plane. So here is to hope that me paying for this is bringing the cost of mass produced carbon fiber down, and that when that gets together with batteries the world sees a real change, that this is a down payment on what our planet really needs.. because after this winter, god knows we need it.. and so do the Polar Bears!
now I am going to move this cool little swivel light out of the way ( did I mention the thing is pure LED lighting?!) and jack up the tough but light plastic leg rest, and finish watching this Bollywood movie after I roam around a bit.. hoping I make you just a we bit jealous… damn this Japanese food tastes good! Metal silverware in coach! Wow, real Hagan Das! Saving carbon, one indulgent bite and flight at a time…thanks John Boehnor… now where did I leave that fiddle that EmporerNero gave me? bet it would sound great up here…
Cheers from the date line!

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Hope for the Holidays: The Unexamined Eco-Revolution caused by the IPad and it’s Copycat Tablet Devices

I am writing from a decidedly un-Christmasy culture.. They aren’t Christians, 97% of them anyways, and they aren’t that consumeristic, although that is changing (spreading like a flower scented cancer from the malls of the capital city)… but they aren’t my readers in any large measure I would guess either, and my readers are staring down the barrel of a loaded ‘fun gun’ called ‘Christmas in America’ right about now.
I get it, I grew up with it, I wanted my Red Rider BB Gun once, and I felt no shame in the filthy orgy of misinterpreted Christianity and greed it was…it was fun, some of the presents did change my life and the life of my family and friends for the better, and it was one of the only times of the year that anything approaching reverence crept into the cocky wreck we called a family. And I get the Christianity part too.. I took it quite seriously for a while…and I like to think that my now South Park version of Jesus would be kind of shrugging with amused chagrin at it all…

So my defense of Christmas aside… it’s fair to say that something much maligned as ‘Consumerism’ is a main driver of many of our Environmental woes. It’s ‘consumerism’ when other people do it…. when we do it, it’s the Christmas Spirit… I ain’t casting stones… but all this buying stuff, stuff beyond food and basic necessities, a nice example of how adaptive and successful our cultures have been, is really screwing things up in the planet department, in general (again, no pointed fingers… we cool? We cool…).
One huge example is electronic goods. I am pretty sure although you don’t need one to survive, they don’t issue them to Buddhist Monks, that your nose is buried in some light producing screen spitting out info-tainment as we speak… in fact, I can almost guarantee it…
There are perhaps 2 billion of the things, maybe more, for a population of 7 billion… and they take a lot of resources to both produce and run… just think about that.. 2 Billion Computers, when you could count them on your hands after World War II.
They came into my house, perhaps at Christmas, as a way for us to keep up with a trend… this was the early 80’s. They were cumbersome and labor intensive ( We had a Texas Instruments) but you could smell something amazing was happening…

 I watched the first MTV video from a spot on the carpet where we used to plug the TI into the TV, next to the spot where we dragged the phone to drop onto the modem… Media was coming on strong..
The First MTV Video: Video Killed the Radio Star by The Buggles

Imagine the combo of these three instruments I was crawling behind the TV to make work by unplugging the VCR (the Fourth) and plugging in the TI… You don’t have to imagine it, it’s 2 billion strong…. and you are nose into one now… how did I know?!
Now when this all first started to happen, it was the Government using these huge IBM mainframes to do what at the time were considered huge calculations.

These things needed their own Power Plants.. then Cray Supercomputers helped us refine the Nuclear Age (so last century!) and perhaps the energy demand was dropping, but it was well past affordability for the householders of the world. Then the personal computer came in, and made it easy to do so many things, from Skyping relatives across the world for Christmas, to making Christmas plans, to shopping for said Christmas, to even getting directions to the relatives in Jersey, where you have to go for Christmas even though you hate to, so you used to print them out because you always intentionally forget the confusing route, and now your phone just tells you…
All that computing, it takes energy…
http://michaelbluejay.com/electricity/computers.html
like a brain needs vitamin B to keep up with the endless stimulation (Anyone want to get a Pizza?.. they have Christmas specials! Reindeer Sausage and Red and Green Peppers!). Multiply it by two Billion, and the energy demands likely exceed those of some large fraction of the smallest countries on earth ( I am guessing.. it’s Christmas, I don’t want to do the math… but imagine an average of say just 100 watts per computer, x 2 billion… agh… moving on…).
You can imagine the demands this places on energy grids, and we all know that unless you live in Iceland, your grid is doing something bad… heck, even in Iceland, you flood valleys to get 3/4 of your power, so let’s make it a blanket statement. The US only get’s 20% of it’s grid power from non carbon sources, and they still have environmental consequences and costs in production, so yeah, your computer, it’s doing something somewhere, as we speak, unless you are powered by solar, and planted a tree and remedied a rare earths mineral mine to cover your footprint.. The idea of coal is a double whammy on Christmas (My jerk sister used to love to stuff it in my stocking, just to let me know what Santa might be too nice to say…) so I won’t bring up that depressing subject, but you better live in Hawaii or maybe Puerto Rico to not think you aren’t getting some juice from it in the collective right now.
So let me bring up a guy named Steve Jobs… he’s no longer as concerned about his legacy I would guess.. because he’s dead… if you didn’t know, you must not own a computer, so I will assume you do. The guy was no Jesus, he was a businessman… He made addictive little contraptions, and leveraged insecurity, pretension, and a love of media to make money selling them to you. Bill Gates, who is still alive, did something a bit different.. he might have had less ideas, but he had some slightly more Utopian visions, no matter how much the marketing of Mr. Jobs was swaddled in Utopianism.. and is now spending his days of idly pursuing a sainthood of sorts. Those of you on a more modern Version of Windows wish he was as obsessive as Jobs, because Windows sucks without Gates there to supervise, but this accentuates my point that although no saint, Steve Jobs was the ever acclaimed perfectionist and made a good product. His single minded pursuit left something else by the wayside too… the Environment.. which is why he will seem an unlikely hero in a few lines. Maybe it is just the scrutiny it gets from it’s ultra hip bloggy mc-graduate degree customers (although mac’s increasing popularity is watering that gene pool down a bit these days.. yup, your tacky housewife cousin who Facebook posts too many pics of her kids has one… the sorority girl.. yup.. her), but Mac might have come in a lot of colors, but very few, Jobs included, saw it a green. They got Flack for not pushing for recyclable or sustainable materials, and more flack for the pollution caused by it’s Southern China factories and the methods used to extract and refine metals used in it’s production. He was single minded in pursuit of sales, and if that collaterally led to greenness, he was all for it, but it is my assumption that Jobs didn’t want to get side tracked by making bamboo and banana leaf computers when that in and of itself would have required a pretty huge and un-demanded investment. But, with market demand, he did start another revolution, a word I begrudgingly use because it used to make me cringe whenever the Beatles Song of the same name was blasphemed from it’s sacrosanctity by being used in his campaigns to sell his idiot boxes with extra buttons…
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iMXhtFik-vI
sorry, it was Nike, but same difference to some of us..
anyhow, so I am about to describe something that will seem small.. it is small, but multiply it by 2 billion, and it isn’t so small. Let’s start by describing how it was small in a good way. I am talking about the IPad… what it is, is a solid state computer, and by solid state  I mean no moving parts. it’s magic is that it’s just a series of circuits.. it’s somehow our privilege that Planck’s Constant gave us RAM that could be hand portable without ROM before the guy who knew what to do with it died… make it snazzy and give it a really nice touch screen. If the last sentence went past your head, this one will make sense to anyone who passed high school physics or pays attention to plugs or their electric bill. These Tablets that Steve Jobs introduced, because they have no moving parts, use something like 1/10 of the energy of their recent predecessors. I’m talking about Tablets, which were led by the Ipad, the newest incarnation of the Computer Revolution.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z9qbgQdAxls

This was under 4 years ago, and I would have to guess that IPad’s and their new derivatives, the Tablets, number in the hundreds of millions today.
I had one for a bit..  a good buddy made me get one so I could communicate easily during a trip abroad. Addictive little thing. I had to literally destroy it to go cold turkey. It didn’t brake easily either ( I was literally in a war zone, so shooting it like Elvis would have been pretty dramatically misinterpreted by the soldiers guarding my hotel.) I had to bounce it against about 4 walls (making NEWS: North, East, West, South) because it was so solid state. Before that act, I could literally never disconnect from my wired state.. I could wipe and keep watching The Daily Show at the same time without even putting it down.. I don’t know how to explain it’s power better than that… Jobs was plunging his system deep into my psyche, and pulling cash out as well…which didn’t escape the observations of the South Park Guys:
http://www.southparkstudios.com/full-episodes/s15e01-humancentipad
But my addiction aside, let’s go back to the whole solid state thing again… Remember hard drives? They spun.. they moved.. the required power to do so, and Desktops… they had a big ol’ TV attached to them.. must have used 50-100 watts or more…gone…now even mouses are obsolete.. not that they used much power.. they were, well, mouse-like, dainty in their consumption… but now, again.. obsolete with the touch screen, well, credit to the touch pad, but still an investment and a power user…  but the touch screen? the coffin is sealed…
So right before my NEWS incident, I left my charger behind in a major city.. like cars before the gas crisis, I had never really wondered how much power they used because it never was an issue.. no one thinks about efficiency in computers.. we need them too badly to question them…we take what they give us… but Jobs, in his pursuit of something better.. the reliability and hand held possibilities of a tablet, not to mention the battery life possible in 2010 (the beginning of the age of Lithium) addressed this problem without us even knowing it..
Where I was looking for Ipad Chargers, I was in the land beyond them.. the city I had just left, was a city of 3 million, and had two mac outlets.. I went into a province with no paved roads leading to it, but due to the miracles of the Cell phone and cheap Chinese crap being everywhere, I could buy IPhone chargers there.. it created about half the charge, but it was enough to trickle charge my IPad.. now the big moments.. how much does an IPhone charge on.. 5 watts… the Ipad.. about 10… 10 watts.. no, not 10 kilowatts, which might have been what the first plasma screens needed.. There are clock radios that run on more than 10 watts, and they sure as heck don’t do what this thing can.. it’s pretty amazing.. and it uses next to no power.. it runs on about 2.5 watts
http://techlogg.com/2011/03/qa-whats-ipad-2s-power-consumption/2322
that’s an almost negligible amount of power.. there were too many things to sell it on to have this be a selling point… to even talk about power consumption almost breaks that magic.. implies limitations and weakness.. Jobs might have been right to never mention it.. but he has launched a revolution for real.. This whole commercialism thing that is slowly sinking the planet… there are two routes out… Luddite solutions (make some NEWS!) and innovation… efficiency was an afterthought here, but if you do the math, every minute that you are curled up with your IPad in bed instead of sitting in front of your desktop or laptop, you are saving the planet, relatively…. and any time you ask a question of your IPhone instead of your laptop or desktop.. again.. triple bonus points.. unless you have it sitting asleep but on all the time, waiting to be cranked up if the tablet or phone stops entertaining you… then you suck!

I wonder how many hours it takes to get past the environmental costs of the production of that devious little Monolith (My god.. it’s full of stars!) and be in the black on power usage… you could run it for over 2000 hours without incurring 1 dollar’s charge on your power bill, in California where energy costs are the highest in the Contiguous US states by some rough math.
And the world has followed suit.. Samsung and Asus and now Chromebooks are all essentially IPad variants.. no moving parts but the buttons, using 1/10 if not 1/40th or 1/100th of the power of the device they replace…
So since Santa and Jesus made peace, consume away if it brings these kinds of (relative) savings.. not Black Friday savings, but black coal savings.. leaving it in the ground and not in the environment, from China to Charlestown, WV!
….. wait.. you didn’t watch that.. it was literally the first South Park even made by Parker and Stone as film Students at UC Boulder..
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eSQczYEeB2w
watch guilt free.. on a tablet, of course… you info-tainment gobbling consumer.. just don’t shoot yer eye out!
Oh and…
there might even be innovations in the big screen category to come, just in case you can’t give it up:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/OLED
http://www.oled-info.com/flexible-oled
Merry Christmas Every One!

Categories
Americans Arizona Warming Call to Action Forest Fires Global Climate Change Global Warming Heros Hot Shots Symbol Yarnell 19

If Ever There Was An Enduring Symbol: Hope and the Yarnell 19 Hot Shots

I can feel your blank stare.. how, oh how, can you get hope from this, the deeply saddening deaths of these 19 swaggering young USFS Hot Shots who died in this wind shift near Yarnell AZ… where are you going to go with this Grumpy? Will it be right on any level?
I can’t guarantee it will be right.. nothing about this is right…I was a few hundred miles away when it happened, also sweltering in similar heat, and I resent the crap out of any good coming from bad, but in some funny way, that’s what this blog is about, so follow if you will, on a trip that might seem a bit Machiavellian, a bit opportunistic, but if you were these 20 guys, the 19 departed and the one spotter who survived, I think you would be looking for any opportunity possible to make a difference to keep this from happening again, or becoming commonplace..

I’ve hung with Hot Shots before..they are a fun swaggering sort.. cocky young dudes in nature, usually 20 somethings, working hard, experiencing its rewards and it’s solace, and trying to make a difference.. a lot of them tend to be veterans, looking for a bit of perspective in the great outdoors.. they get the same camaraderie, but their enemy is a physical force, somehow a relief you can’t reason with it, as a forest fire just requires hard work and a bit of luck, and although it can be sad, it isn’t sad the same way as a civil war or terrorism is sad.. it’s nature, not misdirected man. If you spend time in the great wild areas of American West, usually public lands, or in the occasional dry years in the Appalachians or any of the big National Forests of the east, or even in the desert that is the Yukon Basin of Alaska ( 8 inches a year of precipitation on average, and it burns like you wouldn’t believe most summers.. didn’t know that did ya..) you will run into these scruffy cats, sportin’ tan work pants, boots, official looking t shirts, usually a smile to offset the macho swagger, and it all tells you they must be a fun group to hang around a campfire with, especially if it gets out of control! They aren’t smoke jumpers, they are usually too new for that, but they won’t correct you if you make that mistake, but to a man, if they stick in the seasonal work long enough, they likely would make a smoke jumping instructor proud.. they are the Rangers to the smoke jumpers Special Forces, next in line, the shock troops, and there to help. They volunteer for reasons their own, and they serve their country, and to save lives, homes, and natural resources, like any other fireman, soldier, and emergency personnel you can think of..
So where am I going with this? This could be controversial, and it’s a long thread to make, a tenuous one, but it can be argued that the Yarnell 19 were victims of Climate Change, and the kinds of victims a society can’t ignore..
http://www.nydailynews.com/news/national/firefighter-built-protect-ariz-hotshots-crew-article-1.1389040
They were young, but they weren’t kids.. they took the job willingly, they were too old to be victims, innocent bystanders, in fact, I would wonder just by looking at them, and knowing this kind of person, if any of them would want to be characterized that way… they saw themselves the way a SEAL Team sees themselves, or an infantry squad, or a group of cops.. they were proud to do their job and accept the risks as part of the occupation, but might be willing to cry foul if the risks are exacerbated by negligence:
Lemme quote their boss a month before this incident, from a Christian Science Monitor Article about the 19  young men from Yarnell

“On average, wildfires burn twice as many acres each year as compared to 40 years ago. Last year, the fires were massive in size, coinciding with increased temperatures and early snow melt in the West,” US Forest Service Chief Tom Tidwell told the Senate Energy and Natural Resources Committee in testimony last month.

http://www.csmonitor.com/USA/2013/0706/Arizona-wildfire-Details-emerge-on-tragedy-that-killed-19-hotshots/(page)/2
The west has been burning more and more, and will continue to, in a vicious cycle that was first identified by climatologists and scientists in the 90s.. its a potent combination of warming temperatures, loss of biomass in some areas due to intensive uses like cattle ranging that make rains more intense but less consistent, a form of desertification, accompanied by fire suppression in other areas that make the forests more fuel laden, which leads to more intense fires that often overwhelm the fire resistance of the existing trees, and crowd out new growth. Those new trees are often destroyed, reducing their carbon trapping capacity while creating more undergrowth that is more fire prone in the spaces left by the dead trees.. There might be more factors, but you get the basic ecological ideas.. Global Warming plus 100 years of well intention-ed fire suppression, destruction of more resilient old growth stands, and ranching on public lands are leading to a dramatic and noticeable increase in fire frequency and intensity in the American west, and the sprawl of communities into these quite comfortable forest areas to live in has made more and more for the Forest Service to protect in terms of human homes and infrastructure.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2012/06/30/western-wildfires-are-getting-worse-why-is-that/
http://www.abc15.com/dpp/weather/weather_news/arizonas-climate-heating-up-faster-than-any-other-state
http://www.climatecentral.org/news/the-heat-is-on/
Tragedy places many above pointing fingers, it seems wrong, it seems like a violation of the sanctity of the tragedy, like arguing over a grave site, pettiness when nobility is called for, but If it is considered worthy to go after negligence in the Benghazi Embassy Attack, or in the Beirut Barracks and Embassy Bombings, or in Vietnam, Somalia, or a plane crash, or the Battle of The Alamo, then it is legitimate here, if nothing more than to understand, not to point fingers, but to find out why, because I am going to assert on the record that the record temperatures that played a part in this fire have an aspect of negligence to them, and almost all of us are guilty every time we burn fossil fuels, pour cement, or even breathe these days, but most of us are passively guilty, but our excuse of ignorance is fading.. but the actively guilty are those who are knowingly denying the human causes in Global Climate Change, lobbyists, corporations, and PR firms, and elected officials who fight these reforms as a huge crisis looms..
http://www.cato.org/publications/commentary/globalwarming-myth
http://environmentblog.ncpa.org/
Guess where I am going with this…
So where is the hope?
So obviously, as I step up my conspiratorial circumstance building and Militarize these guys for American deification, there is something about this incident that wasn’t regular, wasn’t just a fire.. every article about this incident seems to mention global warming as a potential factor, I have made the case that Arizona and the west are being dramatically impacted by the increase in Forest Fires for reasons that aren’t a mystery, and unlike Katrina where the mysteriousness of the intensification of storm got replaced as the story by human suffering, politics, accusations of incompetence and even racism, even though white people in Mississippi were just as ravaged as people who do to some degree bear the burdens of living under river level,  and again the story of Hurricane Sandy didn’t quite explain how much was devastated, and heck, New York ain’t entirely America by some peoples estimates, much the way Sept. 11 is in some ways still talked about a heck of a lot more in places other than the city where some 25 out of every 26 deaths occurred on that day,  and polar bears are kind of a Disney Fantasy to some, along with Eskimos and the residents of Vanuatu or Tuvalu.. c’mon.. your island can’t possibly be.. Sinking.. 
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Climate_change_in_Tuvalu
Oh dear god it is..
You see where I am going with this now:
 Try to shoot holes in the reputation of the Yarnell 19. You can’t Swift Boat them, you can’t say they made a huge mistake.. the wind shifted 180 degrees during the highest temperatures ever recorded in the area, and they followed their procedures properly and still couldn’t survive.. they are Americans, they are sons of the heartland, they can’t be confused with Prius drivers from Marin County, lumped with the shrill liberal young who will learn someday.. they weren’t begging to be heard because they have a chip on their shoulder, the disregard able liberals that the Carl Roves of the world love to pigeonhole.. they were just dudes doing their job on a hard day, and they died doing it. I will give full allowances to the idea that forest fires have been happening since before we had any thoughts of global warming, and people died in them:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mann_Gulch_fire
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rattlesnake_Fire
http://www.latimes.com/local/lanow/la-me-ln-griffith-fire-20130701,0,1341812.story
But any good detective would have to add to the math of the Yarnell Fire mans actions to warm the planet, whatever roles luck, chance, fate and skill might have played..
For years the paper has been filled with the trickle of faces from our wars in Iraq, Afghanistan, and wherever Al Queda appears (places you are less likely to hear directly about Americans loosing their lives in, but we are there, trust me..).. before that there was Vietnam and the Cold War in America’s recent memory… but until Yarnell, this new challenge to us, on the level of a War, perhaps eventually on the level of our greatest wars like WWII.
I don’t want to play a Carl Rove card, the way they twisted the Sept. 11 attack into the absurdly labeled ‘Afghanistan First Policy’ no matter how completely fairy tail the connections between Al Queda and Saddam Hussein’s Iraq might have been, or the way Goebbels and Himmler fabricated public justification for the invasion of Poland to begin in earnest that horrible world war
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Himmler
I could go on and on with propaganda and calls to action.. Pearl Harbor, the USS Maine, the Gulf of Tomkin, Silent Spring.. but if ever there were a set of young men who undoubtedly symbolize what has been lost and what can be lost if we don’t take direct action on Climate Change, as they fulfill every positive stereotype that Americans hold dear, as arbitrary and clannish as that may be,  it is these 19 guys, and I hope they don’t mind, because I for one can’t seem to get them out of my head.. For once in a situation like this, perhaps we can honor the dead for something other than as symbols for hate, for this war of sorts has the blurriest battle lines one will ever see.. as intertwined as the molecules of the air..

Never forget?
Never forget.

             





Categories
CFC's Global Warming improving NOAA Ozone Hole Ozone Watch status steady

Remember The Ol’ Hole in the Ozone Layer? How’s He Doin’!?

Steady and Improving..Doctor…
Remember the Ozone Hole.. remember how scary it was.. like that guy in high school who seemed so intimidating.. what’s he up to now, now that you have gotten your life together and faced some significantly bigger challenges, kind of can’t wait to see him at Reunion to stare him down, ha.. Ozone Hole.. what a prick he was!

Well, I’m proud to report he is kind of what you expected.. he’s gone nowhere…sure he got worse for a while, but now he’s kind of stuck.. it’s the equivalent of him staying at home and becoming an overly friendly rental car salesman now with a bit of a paunch and a widows peak.. he drinks when he feels guilty about high school, and just smiles a lot and tries to make jokes when you talk to him…he’s gone from being Freddie Kruger to that Pixar Monster in the imagination of your soul compared to the new challenges you are facing with global warming and it’s 3 horsemen buddies, Glacial Melt, Ocean Acidification, and interruptions to the Food Supply when the world’s population is peaking.. you’ll be eating him for Soylent Green in a few years..
So really, what’s he up to, in the 80’s and 90’s he was such a big deal, back when only egg heads and college professors were squawking about global warming?
Seriously!?
He peaked in 2006, later than you might have imagined.. you know, the equivalent of a bully playing some college ball, or moving to a city that is actually desirable and dating the hottest girl in your high school,
http://ozonewatch.gsfc.nasa.gov/Scripts/big_image.php?date=2006-09-24&hem=S

but for 7 years, nothing, flat, gonzo…
http://www.nasa.gov/home/hqnews/2012/oct/HQ_12-371_2012_Ozone_Hole.html
http://idealab.talkingpointsmemo.com/2012/10/ozone-layer-hole-smallest-its-been-in-20-years.php
it’s how the mechanisms of the chemistry worked that the CFC’s had to work themselves through the atmosphere, but we seem to have successfully halted the production of CFC’s, so as refrigerators die say in a place like India, are thrown into a landfill or recycled, and the CFC’s leak out and make their way to the South Pole through the normal movements of the atmosphere,where in the extreme colds of the southern polar spring, with sunlight however increasing, they combine with hundreds of ozone molecules to tear them from the sky… but the rate of destruction has not increased, the hole never got bigger, our bully seems to have stopped getting meaner and bigger, and enviously more successful. And one thing that’s true, we are making more ozone to replace it one old car at a time, and I wonder, not knowing enough about the mechanisms,if this might not be working in our favor as well..as we age and start to take the position of the bully, learn perspective taking, we ask ourselves “hmm, I wonder what his home life was like?” and things like that, I start to wonder why it never was a factor in the North Pole. was it the lack of altitude of any land mass below it? I have no idea, but obviously we have moved on to bigger and worse things, but we do keep an eye on it.. that satellite I guess hangs out up there watching, and some office at NOAA or the UN keeps adding up the numbers, like that other guy you went to high school with, that ally, who never quite left town, but does cool stuff, owns a bar and hosts parties, he keeps you up on it, satisfies your sceidenfreund by helping you make fun of the bully by telling you how he gets drunk now and complains about how his life has gone nowhere for 7 years.. and you can’t help but see it as, well, hopeful..
Today’s Hole Size:
http://ozonewatch.gsfc.nasa.gov/
Wikipedia, of course, has all the answers..luckily it has no sense of humor, otherwise I would just post a damn wikipedia link, but it says some interesting things.. were it not for the Montreal Protocols, which banned CFC’s in 1987 (celebrated, no doubt, by the celebration of another type of hole on St.Catherines Street..), the whole earth would have been as depleted as the hotle above Antractica by 2060, but they are now calling for a statisticallysignificant recovery by 2024, and pre 1980 levels, where they set the bar, by 2068 worldwide.. the Hole in the South Pole During spring.. gone around 2050…
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ozone_depletion
Whew..glad that’s over with.. now we have nothing to worry about atmospherically.. wait.. what!?
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ozone_depletion